Are Avalanche (AVAX) and Polkadot (DOT) Winning Streaks at Risk in the Bearish Crypto Climate?

Since the start of this week, the global crypto market has experienced a downturn, with the total cap dipping to $1.55 trillion and the total volume falling to $68.8 billion. This slump is partly attributed to the performance of heavyweights like Bitcoin and Ethereum as investors adopt a cautious approach amidst economic uncertainties and the anticipation of the Federal Reserve meeting. 

Surprisingly, some altcoins displayed resilience on December 12: Polkadot (DOT) emerged as a notable performer, achieving double-digit gains, while Avalanche (AVAX) not only surpassed the popular meme token Dogecoin (DOGE) in market capitalization, but also saw its price more than double in just a month. However, both DOT and AVAX are currently undergoing price corrections, shedding 5% and 10% of their value, respectively, and setting a suspenseful stage for investors and enthusiasts alike. 

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Avalanche (AVAX) Technical Analysis

Over the past few days, Avalanche (AVAX) has surged above the crucial $25 resistance zone, registering a gain of over 50%. This bullish momentum saw the token break through several key levels near $30 and even surpass the $40 mark before encountering bearish. Currently, AVAX is trading between $25.87 and $43.18, with the technical indicators providing a nuanced view of its market position. 

Source: TradingView

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) values indicate a bullish trend, with the short-term SMA at $37.98 sitting above the long-term SMA at $26.31. This suggests a general uptrend in the recent period. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53.15 is in the neutral zone, neither overbought, nor oversold, while the Stochastic %K is at 25.89, indicating potential undervaluation. The Average Directional Index (ADX) at 37.06 shows a moderate trend strength, and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -17.36 hints at the start of a new trend. The MACD Level at 1.54 and Momentum at -0.87 give mixed signals, with MACD supporting a bullish outlook, but Momentum indicating a slight slowdown.

Avalanche (AVAX) Bullish Indicators

In a bullish scenario, the recent momentum of Avalanche (AVAX) can continue to build on positive market sentiment. The surge in profitability for most AVAX wallet addresses and the significant investments in the platform, including the $275 million disbursed to validators, provide strong fundamental backing. These developments, coupled with technical indicators like the SMA and MACD, suggest the potential for Avalanche (AVAX) to break past its current resistance at $43.18 and aim for the next significant milestone at $49.23. If the bullish momentum sustains, fueled by external factors like the adoption of AVAX in JPMorgan’s Onyx platform and the launch of Stars Arena, the token could even test the higher ceiling at $66.54.

Avalanche (AVAX) Bearish Indicators

Conversely, if the market sentiment shifts or if there’s adverse news affecting the crypto sector, Avalanche (AVAX) could see a retracement from its current levels. The Stochastic %K and Momentum indicators suggest that the token might be undervalued or losing momentum, respectively. If these bearish signals materialize, AVAX might drop towards its immediate support at $25.87. A break below this level could see it further decline towards the stronger defense line of $14.62. This bearish outlook would represent a significant correction, possibly due to profit-taking by investors who entered during the earlier downtrend or negative developments in the broader crypto market.

Polkadot (DOT) Technical Analysis

In the realm of technical analysis, Polkadot (DOT) is caught in a critical zone between its first support at $5.94 and its first resistance at $8.21. This positioning is particularly significant considering the recent milestones for DOT which include its listing on the HashKey Exchange and a strategic partnership with Deloitte.

Source: TradingView

The technical indicators offer a complex view: the SMA for 10 days stands at $6.97, slightly above the current trading range, while the 100-day SMA at $6.02 suggests a solid support level in the mid-term. The RSI at 48.62 and the Stochastic %K at 41.65 indicate neither overbought, nor oversold conditions, presenting a neutral stance. The ADX at 23.11 shows a lack of strong trend, and the CCI at -50.04 leans towards a bearish outlook. However, the MACD at 0.04 and Momentum at 0.1 are marginally positive.

Polkadot (DOT) Bullish Indicators

In a bullish case, Polkadot (DOT) is now testing the crucial resistance zone above $6, a first since its rejection in February 2023. The trading pattern observed – a large bullish candle testing the resistance followed by a bearish one – indicates a potential for rejection. However, the volume, still in the green zone despite the ongoing price correction, leans bullish, suggesting potential price breakout beyond the double-digit figure. The strategic partnerships and market expansions could act as catalysts, giving the bulls the necessary momentum to push the price past the current resistance level of $8.21 and towards the more distant barrier at $9.09, and possibly even the most ambitious target at $11.36.

Polkadot (DOT) Bearish Indicators

On the flip side, if the bulls fail to maintain the price within the current resistance zone, DOT could echo its previous pattern and enter a prolonged descending consolidation. This possibility is underscored by the CCI’s bearish tilt and the relatively low ADX, suggesting a lack of strong upward momentum. If this scenario unfolds, Polkadot (DOT) could retract towards its immediate support level at $5.94, and potentially even lower, testing the even lower grounds at $4.55 and $2.28. 

Bottomline

The crypto market’s rollercoaster signals investor wariness amid economic uncertainties and upcoming Fed’s decisions. Despite this, some altcoins like Polkadot (DOT) and Avalanche (AVAX) have bucked the trend, showcasing unexpected strength: DOT, for instance, has seen impressive gains, while AVAX has outperformed even Dogecoin in market cap. However, the road ahead is shadowed with uncertainty – both Polkadot (DOT) and Avalanche (AVAX) are correcting their values, reflecting the volatile and unpredictable nature of crypto investments.

Disclaimer: This is a sponsored article and is for informational purposes only. It does not reflect the views of Crypto Daily, nor is it intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, or financial advice.

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